Oleksandriya vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
9º
3º
9
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
12 | 60 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 49 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
13% | 26% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
37.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 2
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LNZ
0 - 2
PFC
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
PFC
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
LNZ
2 - 1
PFC
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 1
FNB
79%
14%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 5
SHA
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |