Oleksandriya vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis

Oleksandriya Shakhtar Donetsk
76 ELO 84
6.3% Tilt -3.8%
413º General ELO ranking 185º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.8%
Oleksandriya
22.9%
Draw
51.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
Oleksandriya
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.3%
Win probability
Shakhtar Donetsk
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oleksandriya
+1%
+14%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Points and table prediction

Oleksandriya
Their league position
Shakhtar Donetsk
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shakhtar Donetsk
72
72
100%
Dnipro-1
67
67
0%
Zorya Luhansk
67
67
0%
Dynamo Kyiv
60
60
100%
Vorskla Poltava
45
45
100%
Oleksandriya
44
44
100%
FC Kryvbas
41
41
100%
Kolos Kovalivka
36
36
100%
Chornomorets Odessa
35
35
100%
Minai
10º
33
33
10º
100%
Rukh Lviv
12º
32
32
11º
0%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11º
32
32
12º
0%
Veres Rivne
14º
31
31
13º
100%
Inhulets
13º
31
31
14º
100%
Metalist Kharkiv
15º
22
22
15º
100%
FC Lviv
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Oleksandriya
Shakhtar Donetsk
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Oleksandriya
Shakhtar Donetsk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oleksandriya
Oleksandriya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2023
LVI
FC Lviv
0 - 1
Oleksandriya
PFC
14%
25%
61%
76 56 20 0
29 Apr. 2023
HKR
FC Kryvbas
2 - 1
Oleksandriya
PFC
22%
27%
51%
76 62 14 0
24 Apr. 2023
PFC
Oleksandriya
0 - 0
Inhulets
INH
69%
20%
12%
76 65 11 0
15 Apr. 2023
MET
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0 - 0
Oleksandriya
PFC
23%
27%
51%
76 62 14 0
09 Apr. 2023
PFC
Oleksandriya
1 - 1
Chornomorets Odessa
CHO
72%
18%
10%
76 63 13 0

Matches

Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2023
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 - 0
Minai
MIN
85%
12%
4%
84 59 25 0
28 Apr. 2023
KOL
Kolos Kovalivka
1 - 3
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
13%
20%
68%
84 71 13 0
22 Apr. 2023
DYN
Dynamo Kyiv
1 - 1
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
28%
25%
48%
84 81 3 0
16 Apr. 2023
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 - 0
FC Lviv
LVI
82%
14%
5%
84 58 26 0
12 Apr. 2023
LVI
FC Lviv
1 - 2
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
6%
16%
78%
84 58 26 0
X