Oleksandriya vs Chornomorets Odessa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
8º
2º
12
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
66.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 1
PFC
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 0
KPT
59%
22%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 0
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
UCS
1 - 4
PFC
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
INH
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DYN
3 - 1
CHO
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
VOR
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
CHO
66%
19%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
RYV
1 - 1
CHO
55%
24%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
FCV
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |