Oleiros vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 1
OLE
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ADN
2 - 2
OLE
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
OLE
0 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
OLE
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 0
VIL
22%
26%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
ALV
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
SIN
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |