Oleiros vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
OLE
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
OLE
0 - 1
GDF
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLE
51%
24%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
OLE
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OLE
0 - 0
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
VIT
53%
24%
22%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
IDA
1 - 1
SER
20%
22%
59%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
55%
24%
20%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |