Oleiros vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
OLE
2 - 0
FAT
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
OLE
0 - 1
ADN
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
OLE
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
OLE
1 - 1
CAL
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
7 - 0
OLE
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
PEN
14%
18%
68%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 5
TOR
19%
27%
55%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
SIN
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
PEN
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |