Oleiros vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
OLE
83%
13%
5%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
OLE
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 0
OLE
88%
10%
3%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
FAT
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
OPE
23%
25%
53%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
FAT
78%
14%
7%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |