EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Oldham Athletic AFC vs Stockport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
OLD
0 - 1
BUR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BRE
2 - 0
OLD
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
STO
2 - 0
OLD
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
OLD
0 - 1
PNE
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
OLD
2 - 0
REA
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
OPA
2 - 0
STO
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
STO
2 - 1
TRA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
STO
2 - 0
OLD
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
GRI
0 - 1
STO
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
OXF
5 - 0
STO
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |