Oldham Athletic AFC vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 1
MAC
6%
19%
75%
|
55 | 92 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 3
OLD
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 1
CUM
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BCF
0 - 0
OLD
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 1
PNE
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
SHW
2 - 0
WYC
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
SHW
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SHW
2 - 1
CUM
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
SHW
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SHW
3 - 0
OLD
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |