Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
OLD
0 - 1
HAR
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
OLD
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
OLD
1 - 0
SOU
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
OLD
0 - 2
SHW
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
OLD
2 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 1
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 2
LEY
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
YEO
1 - 0
NOT
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SUT
0 - 2
NOT
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 2
SCU
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |