Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NOT
1 - 3
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
OLD
0 - 2
WYC
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
BPO
0 - 0
OLD
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
OLD
2 - 0
TRA
49%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BRE
0 - 0
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NOT
1 - 3
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 2
BRE
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
NOT
0 - 2
WIG
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
STO
0 - 0
NOT
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |