Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
BBU
0 - 1
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
LIV
2 - 2
OLD
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
OLD
0 - 0
BBU
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 1
LIV
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
BOL
1 - 0
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
2 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
MID
5 - 2
NOT
63%
20%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |