Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
MID
3 - 0
OLD
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 0
BCF
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
SHW
1 - 0
OLD
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
OLD
0 - 1
BBU
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 2
OLD
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 0
SHE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 2
NOT
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOT
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 1
MUD
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
TOT
2 - 2
NOT
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |