Oldham Athletic AFC vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
OLD
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 0
OLD
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
OLD
3 - 2
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
OLD
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
OLD
2 - 2
SWI
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 2
YEO
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
BCF
3 - 1
NOR
58%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
3 - 1
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
MAN
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |