Oldham Athletic AFC vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LEY
2 - 2
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 1
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
EXE
5 - 1
OLD
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 1
OLD
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
OLD
3 - 0
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
GRI
4 - 2
NEW
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
SAL
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
NEW
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
WAL
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |