Oldham Athletic AFC vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
33%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
OLD
0 - 0
ARS
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
ARS
2 - 0
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
EVE
0 - 0
OLD
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
OLD
1 - 0
EVE
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
OLD
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1923 |
WBA
2 - 1
NEW
52%
25%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
NEW
5 - 1
BBU
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1923 |
NEW
3 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |