Oldham Athletic AFC vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
EVE
5 - 2
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 2
OLD
62%
20%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
WBA
0 - 0
OLD
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 3
WBA
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
OLD
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
DER
0 - 1
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 2
OLD
62%
20%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
BBU
3 - 3
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 2
BBU
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
MID
0 - 0
NEW
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |