Oldham Athletic AFC vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
SCU
2 - 2
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
OLD
2 - 2
GRI
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
PLY
2 - 2
OLD
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
OLD
0 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
OLD
42%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
WAL
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SCU
3 - 0
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
BPO
5 - 1
MOR
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |