Oldham Athletic AFC vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
MKD
2 - 1
OLD
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DON
2 - 1
OLD
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
OLD
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
OLD
0 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FUL
1 - 2
OLD
72%
17%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
MOR
64%
20%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 2
STE
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
EXE
0 - 0
MOR
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 2
CUM
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |