Oldham Athletic AFC vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
OLD
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
OLD
2 - 2
NEW
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 4
STB
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 1
NOT
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 1
SHE
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MID
2 - 0
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MID
0 - 2
VIL
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 5
MID
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 3
MID
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 4
MID
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |