Oldham Athletic AFC vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
OLD
1 - 0
TOT
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
MUD
0 - 3
OLD
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
TOT
3 - 1
OLD
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
OLD
4 - 0
LIV
35%
31%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 0
OLD
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
MUD
3 - 2
SHE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
MUD
0 - 3
OLD
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 0
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
MUD
0 - 1
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |