EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-1
Oldham Athletic AFC vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
OLD
1 - 2
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
OLD
1 - 0
LUT
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
OLD
2 - 0
STO
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
OLD
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
MIL
0 - 1
OLD
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
GRI
1 - 3
WOL
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
BAR
1 - 1
GRI
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
GRI
1 - 1
TRA
45%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1996 |
WAT
6 - 3
GRI
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
GRI
0 - 2
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |