FA Cup Last 16
Global 5-4
Oldham Athletic AFC vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
OLD
6 - 0
WHU
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
OLD
2 - 0
STO
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
WBA
2 - 2
OLD
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1990 |
OLD
2 - 0
SOU
39%
23%
38%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1990 |
OLD
2 - 1
BHA
81%
11%
7%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
EVE
2 - 1
CHA
72%
19%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
LIV
2 - 1
EVE
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
EVE
2 - 0
SHW
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1990 |
EVE
1 - 0
MID
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |