Oldham Athletic AFC vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
STE
3 - 4
OLD
45%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LEY
1 - 1
OLD
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
STF
1 - 0
OLD
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
OLD
2 - 1
CRA
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 0
YEO
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
BBU
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
DER
0 - 2
WBA
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DER
1 - 0
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BPO
2 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DER
3 - 1
POS
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |