Oldham Athletic AFC vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
SHE
2 - 1
OLD
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
ASV
0 - 0
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
OLD
3 - 0
MID
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
OLD
2 - 2
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1914 |
NEW
0 - 0
OLD
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
DER
0 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
BOL
3 - 1
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1914 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
WBA
2 - 1
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1914 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |