Oldham Athletic AFC vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 0
LEY
39%
25%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 0
OLD
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
OLD
2 - 1
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
OLD
4 - 1
COV
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
OLD
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
GIL
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
YEO
1 - 0
CRA
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GIL
1 - 1
CRA
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
WAL
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |