Oldham Athletic AFC vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
OLD
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 0
HAR
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
BOU
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
OLD
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 2
SHE
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
BOU
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BCF
1 - 2
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
COV
2 - 2
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
CRE
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
COL
43%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |