Oldham Athletic AFC vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
4 - 1
PLY
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
STO
1 - 1
OLD
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
POS
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
BPO
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 2
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 3
STO
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |