Oldham Athletic AFC vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 1
OLD
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
NEW
4 - 1
OLD
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 0
BBU
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
OLD
2 - 0
SHE
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
ASV
7 - 1
OLD
80%
12%
7%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
SHE
3 - 3
CHL
75%
15%
11%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
BOL
48%
24%
27%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
MUD
4 - 2
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 4
MUD
38%
24%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |