Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 1
LIN
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 0
OLD
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
OLD
5 - 0
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LEY
2 - 2
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 1
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
CUM
1 - 3
FLE
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
GAT
1 - 1
CUM
25%
23%
51%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CUM
0 - 3
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 2
CUM
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |