Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
OLD
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
PNE
2 - 0
OLD
65%
23%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BCF
0 - 1
OLD
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
OLD
0 - 0
NOR
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OLD
0 - 0
WAL
37%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
CUM
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
CUM
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
CUM
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 1
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 0
PLY
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |