Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BCF
0 - 0
OLD
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 1
PNE
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
WYC
2 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SHW
3 - 0
OLD
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLD
0 - 1
CHA
22%
27%
52%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CUM
4 - 1
EXE
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SHW
2 - 1
CUM
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
STE
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 1
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 0
SCU
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |