Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
ROT
3 - 1
OLD
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 0
OLD
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
OLD
1 - 0
SWA
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
OLD
0 - 1
POR
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
TRA
1 - 0
OLD
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
CUM
1 - 1
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CUM
3 - 1
LEY
47%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
YEO
2 - 1
CUM
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 0
CUM
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
CUM
1 - 0
DON
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |