Oldham Athletic AFC vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 0
OLD
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 2
OLD
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAI
0 - 2
OLD
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
OLD
1 - 1
LIN
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
OLD
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BCF
2 - 0
EXE
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
BCF
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BCF
0 - 1
LUT
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
BCF
4 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 2
BCF
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |