Oldham Athletic AFC vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WAL
2 - 0
OLD
58%
24%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
OLD
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
OLD
0 - 0
MIL
19%
24%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 0
OLD
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
OLD
1 - 0
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BCF
1 - 2
GIL
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
BCF
2 - 1
COV
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
BCF
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
BCF
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
BCF
0 - 0
MKD
36%
25%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |