Oldham Athletic AFC vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 2
OLD
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
COL
2 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
OLD
2 - 0
POS
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
BBU
2 - 0
OLD
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
OLD
2 - 1
BPO
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
BCF
0 - 1
STO
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BOU
3 - 2
BCF
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
WRE
1 - 0
BCF
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
BCF
0 - 2
WIG
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
BCF
0 - 3
SWI
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |