Oldham Athletic AFC vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
3 - 0
SHE
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 0
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 0
BRI
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 0
OLD
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 0
BCF
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 0
SUN
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 3
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
BCF
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 0
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |