Oldham Athletic AFC vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
HUR
3 - 0
OLD
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 3
HUR
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
MID
2 - 1
OLD
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 0
MID
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
OLD
2 - 0
CHL
43%
29%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
TOT
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
MID
2 - 2
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |