Oldham Athletic AFC vs Aston Villa analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Aston Villa
80 ELO 83
-11.4% Tilt -10.2%
3743º General ELO ranking 31º
123º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.6%
Oldham Athletic AFC
25.4%
Draw
33%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
-13%
-4%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 1920
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
73%
16%
11%
81 83 2 0
20 Sep. 1920
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
5 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
68%
18%
14%
81 83 2 0
18 Sep. 1920
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
51%
25%
25%
81 82 1 0
11 Sep. 1920
LIV
Liverpool
5 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
63%
21%
17%
82 82 0 -1
04 Sep. 1920
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
53%
23%
24%
82 79 3 0

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 1920
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
73%
16%
11%
83 81 2 0
18 Sep. 1920
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
44%
25%
31%
83 78 5 0
15 Sep. 1920
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
5 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
52%
23%
25%
83 82 1 0
11 Sep. 1920
ASV
Aston Villa
4 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
71%
16%
13%
83 79 4 0
06 Sep. 1920
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
70%
17%
13%
83 83 0 0
X