Oldham Athletic AFC vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
CHL
1 - 0
OLD
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
3 - 0
OLD
69%
18%
14%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 1
OLD
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
OLD
1 - 0
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
OLD
0 - 3
MUD
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
5 - 2
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
3 - 0
OLD
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 2
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
2 - 0
MUD
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
ASV
4 - 0
SHE
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |