Oldham Athletic AFC vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
LIV
0 - 3
OLD
58%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
OLD
3 - 0
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
PNE
0 - 1
OLD
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
OLD
1 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
MUD
4 - 1
OLD
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
WBA
1 - 0
ASV
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |