Oldham Athletic AFC vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
SHE
1 - 1
OLD
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 0
OLD
72%
17%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1912 |
WBA
0 - 0
OLD
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 1
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
MUD
3 - 1
OLD
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
ASV
3 - 1
BRA
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
78%
13%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
PNE
4 - 1
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
OLD
1 - 2
ASV
38%
26%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |