Oldenburger SV vs Hohenwestedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
12.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
8º
7º
18
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 48.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 3
SVE
72%
14%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
5 - 4
HEI
21%
19%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 2
FLE
38%
21%
41%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ECK
0 - 1
OLD
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 1
VFR
47%
22%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOH
0 - 4
EUT
38%
21%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 2
SVE
50%
20%
30%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KIL
3 - 1
HOH
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HOH
2 - 3
FLE
29%
21%
51%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
HOH
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |