Oldenburger SV vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
14º
11º
55
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HUS
3 - 3
OLD
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 1
GWS
83%
10%
7%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 5
OLD
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 3
WEF
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
4 - 0
OLD
5%
10%
84%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
1 - 0
BOR
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TOD
4 - 0
HEI
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HUS
2 - 3
HEI
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
3 - 0
WEF
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
6 - 1
GWS
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |