Oldenburger SV vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
14º
11º
27
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 0
OLD
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
OLD
3 - 2
HUS
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ECK
4 - 1
OLD
51%
20%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FLE
4 - 1
OLD
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 3
ECK
58%
19%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 0
FRI
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 1
DOR
50%
21%
30%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 3
HUS
45%
20%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 3
HEI
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
BOR
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |