Old Road vs Five Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 1
ORO
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ORO
5 - 2
ATS
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ORO
4 - 1
AST
81%
11%
7%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 2
ALL
49%
20%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GSF
1 - 1
ORO
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Five Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PTI
4 - 1
FIV
56%
20%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FIV
2 - 3
HOP
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AST
2 - 1
FIV
32%
21%
47%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
FIV
2 - 4
GSF
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
PBU
3 - 0
FIV
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |