Old Road vs Aston Villa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+465%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 2
ALL
49%
20%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GSF
1 - 1
ORO
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GRC
1 - 3
ORO
18%
18%
64%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
ORO
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
FIV
0 - 7
ORO
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
AST
1 - 2
GRE
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PBU
1 - 1
AST
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
JHF
0 - 0
AST
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 4
AST
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PTI
1 - 6
AST
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +3 |