Old Boys vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
YFJ
4 - 0
OLD
65%
19%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TUG
3 - 1
OLD
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 1
BAS
38%
24%
39%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STA
0 - 1
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OLD
0 - 2
ETO
67%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
STG
3 - 2
SCH
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
STG
2 - 3
KRI
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STG
1 - 0
YVE
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
STG
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 3
STG
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |