Old Boys vs Regensdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
3º
19
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 1
OLD
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OLD
4 - 1
PRA
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
OLD
4 - 2
LER
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 5
OLD
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OLD
4 - 1
FCA
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Regensdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
REG
2 - 4
FCU
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCW
3 - 1
REG
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
REG
1 - 3
RAP
21%
22%
58%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
REG
2 - 5
STG
5%
12%
83%
|
20 | 78 | 58 | 0 |