Old Boys vs Pratteln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.8%
11.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
16º
3º
37
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 0
OLD
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
GUM
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 2
OLD
22%
19%
59%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 1
BIN
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 0
FCB
87%
9%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pratteln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PRA
3 - 2
SCH
59%
19%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 1
PRA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PRA
2 - 1
CON
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GUM
3 - 0
PRA
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
FCB
72%
15%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |